Josh Heit's blog

     

Monday, November 25, 2002

 
Ugggggggh!: 80-79 in OT, UNC-Greensboro over American. SO close, especially after the great Stokes 3 to send it into OT. Man, that's not gonna help come tourney time. Sagarin had UNCG ranked #248 and AU #216. Actually, looking at it. UNCG had a rating of 69.05 and AU of 71.10. Accounting for Sagarin's 4.25 home court advantage finagle factor, that's a prediction of UNCG 73.3, AU 71.1. Which is pretty close to actual (70-70 at the end of regulation). Still, unless UNCG makes a good run this year, losing to a sub-200 ranked team isn't gonna look good.

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